Tuesday, September 28, 2010

How stupid is this? DGA to spend 700 large on ad buy against… Rick Perry

image How stupid is this?  Very.

Texas hasn’t had a Democrat in the Governor’s Mansion since Dubya put the silver boot up Ann Richards’ ass.  Perry enjoys approval ratings that have never slipped below 50% and polling shows him with a consistent six to eight point lead in statewide surveys of likely voters.

The state of Texas has such a business-friendly climate that it has hardly felt the impacts of the recession at all, and a big part of that is the tort reform Perry signed into law five years ago.  Texas is good for business and bad for trial lawyers.

But that isn’t stopping the Democratic Governors Association, which announced plans for an ad buy of up to $700,000 in the Dallas – Ft. Worth area.

Perry’s opponent, former Houston Mayor Bill White, can’t even establish a solid majority of support in the metro area he once led. Houston area businesses (some of whom are my clients) were so glad to see him go that they’ve embraced the city’s first openly gay Mayor as a breath of fresh air.


The latest poll in Texas, conducted by Blum & Weprin Associates for a consortium of Texas newspapers, gave Perry a seven-percentage-point lead, 46 percent to 39 percent. The poll was published on Sunday. Perry's lead was consistent with other surveys taken in September.

The public poll showed White and Perry running about even in the Houston area, where White is well known. But Perry held a solid lead in the Dallas area. The DGA hopes its ad campaign will cut into that margin there, which could be the key to White's hopes of winning.

Perry became governor in December 2000 after then-governor George W. Bush resigned to become president. He has been reelected twice to four-year terms and is now the longest-serving governor in the state's history.

In a year in which incumbents of both parties have found themselves on the defensive, Democrats hope to turn Perry's long tenure against him. The ad concludes by saying, "Twenty-five years as a politician has changed Rick Perry alright - for the worse."


If this is the story line, then the DGA has fallen for the media meme that the 2010 election is “anti-incumbent.”  It is not.  The 2010 election cycle represents a center-right backlash against the statist establishment, and despite claims to the contrary during the primary, Rick Perry’s conservative credentials are solid gold.  Democrats have about as much of a chance of picking him off as would a coyote on the jogging trail.

But by all means, DGA.  Spend that money. 

Sources: Rahm Emanuel to let the crisis go to waste; quitting Chief of Staff post

image According to sources, says Fox News.

Shame on him.  His boss—President Barack Hussein Obama—is “enjoying” the lowest approval ratings of his term in office. His party is facing such a bloodbath in the upcoming November 2 midterm election that they’re going after each other’s campaign donors.

The Democrats and  the White House are in the biggest political crisis they’ve seen since seizing the levers of power in January 2009.  And what happens? The man who famously said that “you never want a serious crisis go to waste” is doing just that.

Instead of helping to right the ship, Brave Sir Rahm is running away.  He could stay on post and help Obama craft a Clintonesque “triangulation.”  Instead, he’s gonna go run for the arguably the most corrupt job in American politics.

Mayor of Chicago.

Good bye, Good riddance, and Good luck with that Chicago thing.

It’s a dog eat Blue Dog world: Dems competing against each other for campaign cash

Hah.  See that countdown over there at the top right, just below the header?  Election Day is seven weeks away, and there is a sense of panic gripping the Democrats.  It’s gotten so bad that Senate Democrat operatives are urging donors to abandon maintaining the House majority as a lost cause and make a last-ditch defense in the Senate:


One House Democratic fundraiser said that some Senate operatives are telling big donors and union officials, “The House is lost; you have to save the Senate.”

While top Senate Democrats insist they don’t use that line, some House strategists are playing their own angle. Their money pitch: House Democrats have worked overtime to pass President Barack Obama’s sweeping agenda, parts of which have been stymied in the intractable Senate.

The intense intraparty competition in the final weeks of the campaign shows that “everybody is frantically trying to raise money,” said Tony Podesta, a well-known Washington lobbyist and a top fundraiser for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.).


Following Christine O’Donnell’s upset victory in the Delaware GOP Senate Primary over liberal, establishment favorite Mike Castle, the media was all abuzz over an alleged rift in the Republican Party between the establishment and the conservative, Tea Party grassroots movement.

Not so much, anymore.  The money flow has a definite center-right swirl to it, as labor unions and the liberal base are losing enthusiasm.  Big money, third-party orchestra conductors like Karl Rove and Haley Barbour are also steering a lot of outside cash towards the Republican side. Campaign coffers that are stuffed with cash tend to smooth over any differences, despite the leftist media’s attempts to fan the flames of controversy.

The real rift is in the Democrat Party,  where the fractious coalition of constituencies is not only starting to come apart along the ideological seams, but also between Democrats in the two legislative chambers.  House Democrats are furious at the Senate for not going along with its much more liberal agenda items (Cap and Trade, Amnesty, DADT, ad nauseum); and Senate Dems are irritated at the House for pushing too hard, too soon and alienating the Vast Main Street Wing Conspiracy that became the Tea Party.

The next five weeks are going to be fun to watch.

House Dems: Stuff that Lame Duck! UPDATE: House agenda confirms no WRDA

From The Hill:


The array of bills competing for floor time shows the sense of urgency among Democratic lawmakers to act before the start of the 112th Congress, when Republicans are expected to control more seats in the Senate and House.

But, given the slow pace of the Senate, it also all but guarantees that Democrats will be hard-pressed to pass even a small part of their lame-duck agenda.

The highest-profile item for November and December is the tax cuts of 2001 and 2003, passed under President George W. Bush, which expire at year’s end.

Democrats have promised they will not allow tax rates to rise for families making less than $250,000 a year.

Democratic leaders have also prioritized the defense authorization bill, which includes a repeal of the “Don’t ask, don’t tell” policy that bans gays from serving openly in the military.

Democrats and gay-rights activists fear repeal could prove impossible if Republicans control the House or additional Senate seats.

Sen. Dick Durbin (Ill.), the chamber’s second-ranking Democrat, has promised to push for a vote on the DREAM Act, which would give the children of illegal immigrants a chance to earn legal residence.

That bill would have much less chance of passing if Republicans controlled the House.

Democratic leaders also view an extension of unemployment insurance benefits and a freeze in scheduled cuts to doctors’ Medicare reimbursements as must-pass legislation.

Lawmakers could spend much of the lame-duck session haggling over these two expensive proposals, which sucked up weeks of time in the Senate earlier this year.


The so-called “doc freeze” and extension of unemployment benefits are non-starters with Republicans, who will no doubt be energized and run out the clock.

Not likely to see a floor vote: The Water Resources Development Act of 2010.  The traditionally biannual authorizing legislation sets water resource development policy and authorizes flood control, navigation and ecosystem restoration projects in all 50 states.  It’s usually passed in even years, for the most obvious reason:  House and Senate members have the opportunity to earmark funds for home-district and home-state projects that they can take home and campaign on.  But another key aspect of WRDA is its implications on water resource policy and longer range strategies.  WRDA 1986, for example, established cost-sharing rules that put more decision-making power in local and state hands.  WRDA 1998 established rules to speed up the bureaucratic process by which projects are studied and approved.  The legislation is a rare example of good government.

WRDA has also traditionally been a legislative agenda item that enjoys broad bipartisan support, but this has been anything but a Congress of bipartisan spirit and cooperation.  Instead of proceeding with legislation that both parties support, and which really does have tangible, positive effects on the economy, the Democrat leadership in both houses are going to continue to push liberal darlings like meaningless “child nutritition,” the dangerous DREAM Act, and extending unemployment benefits beyond the current (almost) two-year limit.

It’s another reminder why November 2, 2010 is such an important mid-term election day.  Getting rid of this bunch could mean getting government back to serving its people instead of serving the leftwing constituencies and special interests.

UPDATE: Via Jamie Dupree’s blog, here’s the House agenda for the week, and WRDA isn’t on it.

Monday, September 27, 2010

More on Stuxnet, its intended target and its potential genesis.

A Newsy.com video recommended by an IBCR reader. 

 

Multisource political news, world news, and entertainment news analysis by Newsy.com

In her email, the reader asks a very good question:


I just read your blog post on the Struxnet virus. I really enjoyed learning more about the background of this powerful worm. If the intended target was indeed Iran’s nuclear power plant, then should we view the bug as successful execution of cyber warfare? After all, the best way to stopping your enemies is by hindering their ability to wage war.

We may be asking if Iran’s nuclear facility was the worm’s intended target, but shouldn’t we also be asking who was responsible for creating a virus capable of potentially wiping a nation’s defense system?


Whoever developed this code had a big target in mind. 

Suggestions are that the Stuxnet worm came either from the U.S., or Israel, on the basis that the worm targets specific systems and utilizes specific weaknesses in the Windows operating system that your garden variety hacker probably wouldn’t have the resources to exploit. Iran has already been affected. However, this site suggests that Iran’s problems with Stuxnet have now passed, and that the worm has begun infecting systems elsewhere on the Asian continent.

What leads me away from this thing having an American genesis is the potential for collateral damage.  The intended target runs a software-and-hardware combination that is similar in plants around the world.  The sophistication of the development team necessitates that they would recognize this, and such risk-taking just doesn’t jive with my sense of this administration.  Your mileage may vary.

Stay tuned.  I don’t think this story is over by a long shot.  Somewhere in the world, a very dangerous facility is being run by a bunch of careless idiots.  Stuxnet is likely to find its way there, and the damage could be spectacular.

UPDATE: It looks like Iran is having more trouble with Stuxnet than the softpedia.com site suggests.

It’s come to this: Obituary urges donation to Obama’s 2012 opponent

obit-Obama

 

h/t @JPoor007 and @ed_molchany (via Twitter)

Unemployment may increase even WITH growth

It’s a creeping malaise caused by stagnant to slightly positive growth in economic output accompanied by sluggish hiring in the labor market.  It’s a long, painful economic illness, it is always and everywhere the product of leftist economic ideology, and it’s probably already here.

In today’s Wall Street Journal Online edition:


The strong likelihood of tepid economic growth through next year suggests unemployment may rise, rather than fall, as many forecasters currently predict.

In a paper published Monday, economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco warn business cycle analysis generated within the central bank system is pointing to growth that will be “at or below potential” growth levels.

This modest rate of advancement won’t be enough to generate the needed level of job growth, which suggests “the unemployment rate could rise by as much a 0.5 percentage point during this period,” moving from the current level of 9.6% to 10.1%. The paper’s authors, economists David Lang and Kevin Lansing, observe “such a scenario would take the unemployment rate back to the peak recorded in October 2009.”


In a post late last week, I explained some of the reasoning behind such a sluggish labor market.  It’s primarily a climate of uncertainty that kills confidence and makes businesses think twice about expanding production and adding new employees.  On the other side of the labor market is supply.  Depending on which economic forecasts you read, the economy needs to add between 150,000 and 225,000 new jobs every month just to keep up with population growth.  If the economy is growing at a rate too slow to support that level of job creation, the unemployment rate rises as new people enter the job market.

This has two effects that are felt right away:  It suppresses wages because there are more people competing for fewer jobs (thus driving the price of labor down), and it creates even more uncertainty by consumers.  Consumer spending drives nearly 70% of the economic output of the U.S.  If consumers have less money to spend because of falling wages, aggregate demand is reduced, which drives down the prices of goods and services produced.

It’s a classic economic catch 22 in that consumers spending less translates into businesses hiring less, further depressing consumer confidence and spending.

So how do you get out of the spiral?

Improve business confidence.  Make it easier and less expensive to do business in the U.S., and American businesses will do what they do best.  There are many ways to improve business confidence:  Getting rid of Obamacare is one way.  De-clawing the immense federal regulatory environment is another.  But the best way to improve the business climate is to send a certain message to the business community: Cut corporate income taxes, eliminate capital gains taxes altogether and stop this stupid class war distinction between the people who create the jobs and the people who work in them.  There is no better relationship on the planet than there is between productive employee and successful small business owner.  The former is always handsomely rewarded for his efforts to improve the latter’s business success, because the latter knows that productive employee is just as good at a competitor’s place of business.

Sunday, September 26, 2010

Dark Avenger Redux: Stuxnet and the next generation of virtual warfare UPDATE: Target acquired?

Have you ever heard of Stuxnet?  If not, you will soon.  It may be the most destructive piece of code to be released into the wild since the days of the Dark Avenger virus.

When I was running a FidoNet Bulletin Board System (BBS) in 1990, nothing struck dread in the heart of a BBS surfer more than seeing the following string of text, written randomly in sectors on his hard drive:

""Eddie lives... somewhere in time!"

Dark Avenger, nee Vesselin Bontchev (or, Todor Todorov?), is/was a computer programmer from Sofia, Bulgaria who authored the DOS program that bore his name.  The Dark Avenger virus was the seminal code that set off the whole war between virtual warhead and digital armor.  It’s infectiousness and its stealth mode of operation made it difficult to control, detect and destroy. During the debate surrounding researcher Sarah Gordon’s research on the Dark Avenger, there was considerable—and informed—speculation that the virus was developed by a team behind the Iron Curtain.

It’s 2010. Enter Stuxnet. 

Stuxnet is the world’s first virtual super weapon that was intentionally designed to take down a real-world target.  It could be a manufacturing facility, a chemical plant or… a nuclear power plant?


A gradual dawning of Stuxnet's purpose

Stuxnet surfaced in June and, by July, was identified as a hypersophisticated piece of malware probably created by a team working for a nation state, say cyber security experts. Its name is derived from some of the filenames in the malware. It is the first malware known to target and infiltrate industrial supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) software used to run chemical plants and factories as well as electric power plants and transmission systems worldwide. That much the experts discovered right away.

But what was the motive of the people who created it? Was Stuxnet intended to steal industrial secrets – pressure, temperature, valve, or other settings –and communicate that proprietary data over the Internet to cyber thieves?

By August, researchers had found something more disturbing: Stuxnet appeared to be able to take control of the automated factory control systems it had infected – and do whatever it was programmed to do with them. That was mischievous and dangerous.

But it gets worse. Since reverse engineering chunks of Stuxnet's massive code, senior US cyber security experts confirm what Mr. Langner, the German researcher, told the Monitor: Stuxnet is essentially a precision, military-grade cyber missile deployed early last year to seek out and destroy one real-world target of high importance – a target still unknown.

"Stuxnet is a 100-percent-directed cyber attack aimed at destroying an industrial process in the physical world," says Langner, who last week became the first to publicly detail Stuxnet's destructive purpose and its authors' malicious intent. "This is not about espionage, as some have said. This is a 100 percent sabotage attack."


SCADA systems automate the controls of everything from a neighborhood package water plant to a massive steel manufacturing facility; from a candy factory to some of the world’s most sophisticated energy facilities:  Nuclear reactors.

As mentioned above, there was a lot of speculation that Dark Avenger and the variants that followed it were coded by Iron Curtain development teams, with the intention of releasing them into the wild and eventually, getting them to find their way across the pond into the nascent virtual networks (like FidoNet) and government networks, like ARPANet (that would be the Internet that Al Gore invented).

So where did Stuxnet come from?  Good question.  The experts say that the elegance of the code, the depth of the encryption and the specific nature of the program’s intended target indicate that it is the product of a program that could only be funded at the state level. 

Just like the same experts were saying about the Dark Avenger.

The real $64 trillion question is: “What facility was Stuxnet designed to destroy?”

UPDATE: Maybe the guided missile has homed in on it’s target. Via Fox News, the W32.stuxnet code has apparently infected computers at Iran’s Bushehr nuclear facility:


A complex computer worm capable of seizing control of industrial plants has affected the personal computers of staff working at Iran's first nuclear power station weeks before the facility is to go online, the official news agency reported Sunday.

The project manager at the Bushehr nuclear plant, Mahmoud Jafari, said a team is trying to remove the malware from several affected computers, though it "has not caused any damage to major systems of the plant," the IRNA news agency reported.

It was the first sign that the malicious computer code, dubbed Stuxnet, which has spread to many industries in Iran, has also affected equipment linked to the country's nuclear program, which is at the core of the dispute between Tehran and Western powers like the United States.

Experts in Germany discovered the worm in July, and it has since shown up in a number of attacks -- primarily in Iran, Indonesia, India and the U.S.

The malware is capable of taking over systems that control the inner workings of industrial plants.

In a sign of the high-level concern in Iran, experts from the country's nuclear agency met last week to discuss ways of fighting the worm.


Eddie lives, somewhere in time.  And maybe he’s figured out his purpose in “life.”

If Stuxnet’s target really is Bushehr, then all I can say is “happy hunting.”

Retired USAF Officers: The Aliens are monitoring our nukes!

It’s Sunday, usually a slow news day.  But then this bombshell drops and suddenly, everything has changed.


Captain Robert Salas was on duty in Montana in 1967 when a UFO shut down the nuclear missiles on his base. And he's hardly the only one to make such a claim.

On Monday, six former U.S. Air Force officers and one former enlisted man will break their silence about similar events at the National Press Club, all centering around unidentified flying objects and nuclear missiles. They plan to urge the government to publicly confirm the incidents, stating that they were ordered never to discuss the events.

"We're talking about unidentified flying objects, as simple as that," Salas told FoxNews.com. "They're often known as UFOs, you could call them that," he added. Salas, a former U.S. Air Force nuclear missile launch officer, will host the event along with researcher Robert Hastings, author of "UFOs and Nukes: Extraordinary Encounters at Nuclear Weapons Sites.

According to the pair, witness testimony from more than 120 former or retired military personnel points to an ongoing and alarming intervention by unidentified aerial objects at nuclear weapons sites, as recently as 2003. In some cases, several nuclear missiles simultaneously and inexplicably malfunctioned while a disc-shaped object silently hovered nearby.


image

So, they’re out there?  What should we do? 

I know what I would do, if I were Barack Hussein Obama.  He should dial up Agent J and Agent K, make sure their weapons are properly charged, and set’em loose on the little green fookers.  But, that would be alienist.

Update via Hotair: The UN has a different idea, naturally.  That austere organization has already got a plan in place, and is set to designate an envoy to extraterrestrials.

 


THE United Nations was set today to appoint an obscure Malaysian astrophysicist to act as Earth’s first contact for any aliens that may come visiting.

Mazlan Othman, the head of the UN's little-known Office for Outer Space Affairs (Unoosa), is to describe her potential new role next week at a scientific conference at the Royal Society’s Kavli conference centre in Buckinghamshire.

During a talk Othman gave recently to fellow scientists, she said: “The continued search for extraterrestrial communication, by several entities, sustains the hope that some day humankind will receive signals from extraterrestrials.

"When we do, we should have in place a coordinated response that takes into account all the sensitivities related to the subject. The UN is a ready-made mechanism for such coordination.”


Mulder?

Redistributing wealth with the Gulf Coast Claims Facility

imagePresident Barack Hussein Obama famously said, “I do think at a certain point, you’ve made enough money.”  This man, this regime is hell bent on making sure the rich suffer the consequences of rapaciously accumulating all of that wealth.  So much so, that they are apparently attempting to redistribute it even with the Gulf Coast Claims Facility.  The GCCF is the apparatus that distributes the $20 billion slush fund that the regime arm-twisted out of BP.  The GCCF is administered by none other than the former “Pay Czar,” Kenneth Feinberg.  You know, the guy who said he’d be “uncompensated” for that position but got a six-figure salary, anyway.

In a story from yesterday’s Mobile Press-Register:


Business owners and public officials in Baldwin County say they are alarmed by reports of employees receiving more money for oil spill claims than owners of the businesses they work for.

It is just another aspect of their biggest problem with Ken Feinberg’s Gulf Coast Claims Facility — that business owners near Baldwin County’s once-lucrative beaches get checks that cover only a fraction of losses suffered after the oil spill began keeping tourists at bay.

David Wright is an extreme example. The owner of an Elberta company that builds high-end homes for people who plan to either retire or vacation on the coast, Wright had to lay off his 15 workers when his customers canceled contracts after the April 20 spill.

Rob Manney, a supervisor on Wright’s crew, said he got checks totaling 80 percent of his personal claim with Feinberg’s operation.

Wright’s business claim was denied.

“How do you pay an employee and not the business?” Wright asked. “It’s anti-business.”

Feinberg did not respond to requests for comment made to his media representative.


Feinberg says that the GCCF is not under the direction of BP or the regime.  That, obviously, is a bunch of shit. There is only one reason why Wright’s employees are getting claims checks and business owners like Wright are not—it’s class discrimination.  “Bourgeoisie” business owners like Wright are the people who create the jobs that drive this economy.  But to the Obama regime, men like Wright are guilty of building wealth on the sweat and blood of their employees.  So, when the opportunity arises to “make it right,” they do so.  They deny legitimate claims submitted by business owners while approving the claims of the businesses’ employees.

I am no fan of the $20 billion slush fund.  It’s just another way for the regime to pick winners and losers.  Or, in this case, to pick those who suffer a little and those who suffer a lot. 

The regime’s complete ineptitude in responding to the disaster—as documented in the Deepwater Horizon Incident Timeline on this blog—shows that it is incapable of managing any significant enterprise or effort.  It inevitably allows politics to color its decision-making process, and shamefully allows ideology to pollute what should be a straightforward process of settling claims.